Students

ECON241 – Introductory Econometrics

2015 – S3 Day

General Information

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Unit convenor and teaching staff Unit convenor and teaching staff Unit Convenor
Fazeel Mohamed Jaleel
Contact via fazeel.jaleel@mq.edu.au
E4A-444
Available on iLearn
Credit points Credit points
3
Prerequisites Prerequisites
15cp including [(STAT170 or STAT171 or PSY122) and (ECON110 or ECON111)]
Corequisites Corequisites
Co-badged status Co-badged status
Unit description Unit description
This unit introduces some basic econometric techniques employed by economists in the analysis of economic relationships. These techniques are also used extensively in marketing and finance. In addition to its role as a basis for programs of study in economics, marketing and finance, the unit is the foundation econometric unit for students who wish to undertake a program of study in applied econometrics. Topics covered will usually include: estimation and hypothesis testing; simple and multiple regression; prediction; the interpretation and evaluation of regression models, including an elementary discussion of nonlinear modelling, heteroscedasticity, auto-correlation, multicollinearity and specification error; and the use of categorical or qualitative data in regression models. Emphasis throughout the unit is on the application of econometric techniques and the interpretation of estimated results rather than formal theoretical proofs and derivations.

Important Academic Dates

Information about important academic dates including deadlines for withdrawing from units are available at https://www.mq.edu.au/study/calendar-of-dates

Learning Outcomes

On successful completion of this unit, you will be able to:

  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.
  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Assessment Tasks

Name Weighting Due
Tutorial Exercises 10% During tutorials
Homework Assignments 20% 5pm on date mentioned
Class test 20% 20/1/2016
Final Examination 50% Exam period

Tutorial Exercises

Due: During tutorials
Weighting: 10%

 There are 12 tutorials. Four out of the 12 tutorials will be assessed and counted for your final grade. The assessable tutorials are held in tutorials 3, 5, 10 and 12 and they are worth 10% (2.5% each) for your final grade. In each tutorial class, students will be given a set of exercises based on the work recently covered in lectures. The answers to the questions must be submitted prior to the end of the class. Students may attempt the exercises up to two times during the class. Students are permitted to consult reference material, and to discuss the questions with the tutor and with other students but not to copy other student's work. The tutorial questions and solutions will be published during the week following each class. Since we need to provide each enrolled student with a working computer, students are only permitted to attend the class in which they are registered. The tutorial exercises require a total of approximately 10 hours of work. Students are required to attend assessable tutorial classes. Students who do not submit an assesable tutorial exercise in class will be awarded a mark of zero for that particular exercise and will not be permitted to attempt it for credit at a later date. In cases where a student submits a satisfactory Disruption to studies application, explaining their non- attendance at a minimum of 3 tutorial classes, and if the student’s prior attendance and performance is satisfactory, the weighting of that student’s tutorial component will be adjusted accordingly.

Students must bring their Macquarie University campus card to each tutorial and display it in the holder provided. Failure to display a campus card may result in a student being refused access to the tutorial.

 


On successful completion you will be able to:
  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.

Homework Assignments

Due: 5pm on date mentioned
Weighting: 20%

Students will be given four homework exercises each worth 5% of the final grade (20% in total). It is intended that students will work on the homework exercises independently. Students who have clearly colluded will be awarded a mark of zero, will not be permitted to resubmit, and may be reported to the Faculty Disciplinary Committee for further action. The homework exercises are due at 5pm on the following dates: 21/12/2015, 12/1/2016, 16/1/2016 and 23/1/2016 and must be submitted via the iLearn system. The exercises must be submitted online prior to the due date and time. Each exercise may be submitted two times prior to the deadline and each attempt has a two hour time limit. Only the final submission will be marked. Each homework exercise will require approximately 2 hours of work. A few days after the submission of a homework exercise, students will be provided with their mark via the iLearn system. Students who do not submit a homework exercise will be awarded a mark of zero for that exercise. No extensions will be granted. In cases in which a student submits a satisfactory Disruption to Studies application, which documents incapacitation for at least 3 consecutive days, and if the student has a satisfactory record of attendance and performance in the previous assessment tasks, the weighting of that student’s homework component will be adjusted accordingly.

Late homework and tutorial submissions will not be accepted. The homework task will remain accessible to students for revision, but the results of any subsequent attempts will not be used in the calculation of the grade. The only exception to this rule will be for cases in which an application for Disruption to Studies has been made and approved.

 

 


On successful completion you will be able to:
  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.

Class test

Due: 20/1/2016
Weighting: 20%

The class test is on 20th January 2016 and it will be held during the lecture. The test will be in multiple-choice format and it will include all material covered in lectures and tutorials up to the date on 20th January 2016. More information about the class test will be provided in class and on iLearn. If you fail to attend the test you will be awarded a mark of zero, except for cases in which an application for Disruption to Studies has been made and approved.

 


On successful completion you will be able to:
  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Final Examination

Due: Exam period
Weighting: 50%

A two hour final examination for this unit will be held during the University examination period. You are expected to present yourself for examination at the time and place designated in the University Examination Timetable. The draft and final timetables will be available from http://www.timetables.mq.edu.au/exam.

Students who do not sit for the final exam will be awarded a grade of FA (failed absent). The only exception for this rule will occur in cases where an application for Disruption to Studies has been made and approved. Students who are prevented from sitting the final exam due to illness or unavoidable disruption may wish to consider applying for Disruption to Studies. Information about unavoidable disruption and the Disruption to Studies process is available at http://students.mq.edu.au/student_admin/exams/disruption_to_studies. If a supplementary examination is granted as a result of the Disruption to Studies process, the examination will be held after the conclusion of the official examination period. If the student does not attend the supplementary examination at the scheduled time, a grade of FA will be awarded

You are advised that it is Macquarie University policy not to set early examinations for individuals or groups of students. All students are expected to ensure that they are available until the end of the teaching semester, the final day of the official examination period.

 

 


On successful completion you will be able to:
  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.

Delivery and Resources

Required and Recommended texts and/or materials

§  Hill, C. H., Griffiths, W. E. and Lim, G. C. (2011) Principles of Econometrics (4th ed.) Wiley. This is the main text used in the unit. It is strongly recommended that students purchase a copy. It may be purchased from the Macquarie University Co-op Bookshop. It is also available in the library.

Gujarati, D.N., and Porter, D.C. (2010) Essentials of Econometrics (4th ed.) McGraw-Hill.

Stock, J.H., and Watson, M.W. (2007) Introduction to Econometrics (2nd ed.) Addition-Wesley 

§  Adkins, L. C. (2010) Using Gretl for Principles of Econometrics (3rd ed.). This book is a free download from http://www.learneconometrics.com/gretl/ebook.pdf.

§  A list of prescribed reading will be developed on the website as the unit progresses.

§  Students should download the Gretl datasets from http://www.learneconometrics.com/gretl.html. These are the datasets used in examples and exercises in the above two books.

Technology Used and Required

§  The main software package used in ECON241 is Gretl (http://gretl.sourceforge.net/). This software is available for use in the E4B computer labs, and may be freely downloaded for use elsewhere. The Microsoft Windows version is available at http://gretl.sourceforge.net/win32/. A Mac version is available at http://gretl.sourceforge.net/osx.html. Linux users should check their repositories or download the rpm or source from http://gretl.sourceforge.net/.

§  The use of a spreadsheet will often be helpful for tasks in this unit. For students who don’t own or wish to use Microsoft Excel, a free alternative is provided by OpenOffice (http://www.openoffice.org).

§  Significant use is made of online material in ECON241. The unit material has been designed for the (free) Firefox web browser (http://www.mozilla.com/en-US/firefox/upgrade.html). Other browsers may display the unit material properly, but this cannot be guaranteed.

Unit web page

§  Course material is available on the learning management system (iLearn).

§  Students are strongly advised to check the unit iLearn page regularly for new material and announcements.

 

 

Unit Schedule

The unit is taught via lectures and tutorials.

Students are expected to attend all lectures and tutorials and to read the specified references after the relevant lecture. Students should download the datasets that are used in the textbook and work through all the relevant examples in chapters. Students should submit the unit assessment tasks and reflect on the feedback provided.

 Approximate Schedule of Topics 

Lecture

Topics

1

Introduction, Review of necessary mathematics.

2

Probability

3

Probability

4

Inference

5

Simple regression

6

Simple regression

7

Prediction, goodness of fit and modelling issues

8

Multiple regression

9

Multiple regression

10

Heteroscedasticity

11

Dynamics and Autocorrelation

12

Dynamics and Autocorrelation

13

Exam review

 

 

 

 

Learning and Teaching Activities

Lectures and Tutorials

The session 3 timetable can be viewed at http://timetables.mq.edu.au/. All students attend the same lecture stream (Class 1). There are a number of tutorial classes, and it is important to register for the same class for all tutorials. Tutorial classes are not interchangeable. Your class registration is complete (and correct) once you have registered for all activities (Lectures 1 to 4 and Tutorials 1 to 2), and have registered for the same class for all tutorials. The first week has a slightly different timetable to the next 3 weeks, and the fifth week is slightly different again, with the addition of an extra 2 hour revision lecture. Session 3 runs for 5 weeks, with examinations the following week. The session begins on Monday December 7th 2015 and runs for 2 weeks before a two week break, resuming on Monday January 4th 2016. There are no clashes between lectures and tutorials. It will be assumed that students regularly attend lectures, students are also required to attend at least 4 assessable tutorials out of the 12 tutorial classes.

Policies and Procedures

Macquarie University policies and procedures are accessible from Policy Central. Students should be aware of the following policies in particular with regard to Learning and Teaching:

Academic Honesty Policy http://mq.edu.au/policy/docs/academic_honesty/policy.html

Assessment Policy  http://mq.edu.au/policy/docs/assessment/policy.html

Grading Policy http://mq.edu.au/policy/docs/grading/policy.html

Grade Appeal Policy http://mq.edu.au/policy/docs/gradeappeal/policy.html

Grievance Management Policy http://mq.edu.au/policy/docs/grievance_management/policy.html

Disruption to Studies Policy http://www.mq.edu.au/policy/docs/disruption_studies/policy.html The Disruption to Studies Policy is effective from March 3 2014 and replaces the Special Consideration Policy.

In addition, a number of other policies can be found in the Learning and Teaching Category of Policy Central.

Student Code of Conduct

Macquarie University students have a responsibility to be familiar with the Student Code of Conduct: https://students.mq.edu.au/support/student_conduct/

Results

Results shown in iLearn, or released directly by your Unit Convenor, are not confirmed as they are subject to final approval by the University. Once approved, final results will be sent to your student email address and will be made available in eStudent. For more information visit ask.mq.edu.au.

Academic Honesty

The nature of scholarly endeavour, dependent as it is on the work of others, binds all members of the University community to abide by the principles of academic honesty. Its fundamental principle is that all staff and students act with integrity in the creation, development, application and use of ideas and information. This means that:

  • all academic work claimed as original is the work of the author making the claim
  • all academic collaborations are acknowledged
  • academic work is not falsified in any way
  • when the ideas of others are used, these ideas are acknowledged appropriately.

Further information on the academic honesty can be found in the Macquarie University Academic Honesty Policy at http://www.mq.edu.au/policy/docs/academic_honesty/policy.html

Grades

Macquarie University uses the following grades in coursework units of study:

  • HD - High Distinction
  • D - Distinction
  • CR - Credit
  • P - Pass
  • F - Fail

Grade descriptors and other information concerning grading are contained in the Macquarie University Grading Policy which is available at:

http://www.mq.edu.au/policy/docs/grading/policy.html

Grading Appeals and Final Examination Script Viewing

If, at the conclusion of the unit, you have performed below expectations, and are considering lodging an appeal of grade and/or viewing your final exam script please refer to the following website which provides information about these processes and the cut off dates in the first instance. Please read the instructions provided concerning what constitutes a valid grounds for appeal before appealing your grade.

http://www.businessandeconomics.mq.edu.au/new_and_current_students/undergraduate_current_students/how_do_i/grade_appeals/

Special Consideration Policy

The University is committed to equity and fairness in all aspects of its learning and teaching. In stating this commitment, the University recognises that there may be circumstances where a student is prevented by unavoidable disruption from performing in accordance with their ability. A special consideration policy exists to support students who experience serious and unavoidable disruption such that they do not reach their usual demonstrated performance level. The policy is available at:

http://www.mq.edu.au/policy/docs/special_consideration/policy.html

Student Support

Macquarie University provides a range of support services for students. For details, visit http://students.mq.edu.au/support/

Learning Skills

Learning Skills (mq.edu.au/learningskills) provides academic writing resources and study strategies to improve your marks and take control of your study.

Student Services and Support

Students with a disability are encouraged to contact the Disability Service who can provide appropriate help with any issues that arise during their studies.

Student Enquiries

For all student enquiries, visit Student Connect at ask.mq.edu.au

IT Help

For help with University computer systems and technology, visit http://informatics.mq.edu.au/help/

When using the University's IT, you must adhere to the Acceptable Use Policy. The policy applies to all who connect to the MQ network including students.

Graduate Capabilities

Creative and Innovative

Our graduates will also be capable of creative thinking and of creating knowledge. They will be imaginative and open to experience and capable of innovation at work and in the community. We want them to be engaged in applying their critical, creative thinking.

This graduate capability is supported by:

Learning outcome

  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Assessment tasks

  • Tutorial Exercises
  • Homework Assignments
  • Class test

Discipline Specific Knowledge and Skills

Our graduates will take with them the intellectual development, depth and breadth of knowledge, scholarly understanding, and specific subject content in their chosen fields to make them competent and confident in their subject or profession. They will be able to demonstrate, where relevant, professional technical competence and meet professional standards. They will be able to articulate the structure of knowledge of their discipline, be able to adapt discipline-specific knowledge to novel situations, and be able to contribute from their discipline to inter-disciplinary solutions to problems.

This graduate capability is supported by:

Learning outcomes

  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.
  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Assessment tasks

  • Tutorial Exercises
  • Homework Assignments
  • Class test
  • Final Examination

Critical, Analytical and Integrative Thinking

We want our graduates to be capable of reasoning, questioning and analysing, and to integrate and synthesise learning and knowledge from a range of sources and environments; to be able to critique constraints, assumptions and limitations; to be able to think independently and systemically in relation to scholarly activity, in the workplace, and in the world. We want them to have a level of scientific and information technology literacy.

This graduate capability is supported by:

Learning outcomes

  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.
  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Assessment tasks

  • Homework Assignments
  • Class test

Problem Solving and Research Capability

Our graduates should be capable of researching; of analysing, and interpreting and assessing data and information in various forms; of drawing connections across fields of knowledge; and they should be able to relate their knowledge to complex situations at work or in the world, in order to diagnose and solve problems. We want them to have the confidence to take the initiative in doing so, within an awareness of their own limitations.

This graduate capability is supported by:

Learning outcomes

  • Understand the key statistical concepts, including probability distributions, parameters and estimators, the sampling distribution of an estimator, point and interval estimation, and hypothesis testing.
  • Specify and estimate a regression model. Summarise and interpret the estimation results, and draw valid inferences utilising hypothesis tests. Appreciate the relevance and limitations of the econometric methods used.
  • Explain, compare and contrast these concepts, and apply them to an empirical analysis.
  • Understand the assumptions of a classical (or standard) regression model and the consequences of violation of the assumptions.
  • Understand how to use and interpret dummy variables in regression analysis.
  • Acquire familiarity with an econometric software program.

Assessment tasks

  • Tutorial Exercises
  • Homework Assignments
  • Class test
  • Final Examination

Research and Practice

·     This unit uses research from both internal and external sources.

·     This unit gives students practice in applying research findings in tutorials and homework exercises.