Unit convenor and teaching staff |
Unit convenor and teaching staff
Unit Convenor
Georgy Sofronov
Contact via Email
12 Wally's Walk, Room 535
Lecturer
Karol Binkowski
Contact via Email
12 Wally's Walk, Room 614
Karol Binkowski
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Credit points |
Credit points
4
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Prerequisites |
Prerequisites
Admission to MAppStat or GradCertAppStat or GradDipAppStat or MSc or MDataSc or MScInnovation
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Corequisites |
Corequisites
STAT670
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Co-badged status |
Co-badged status
This unit is co-taught with STAT273.
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Unit description |
Unit description
This unit consolidates and expands upon the material on probability introduced in STAT670. The emphasis is on the understanding of probability concepts and their application. Examples are taken from areas as diverse as biology, medicine, finance, sport, and the social and physical sciences. Topics include: the foundations of probability; probability models and their properties; some commonly used statistical distributions; relationships and association between variables; distribution of functions of random variables and sample statistics; approximations including the central limit theorem; and an introduction to the behaviour of random processes. Simulation is used to demonstrate many of these concepts.
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Information about important academic dates including deadlines for withdrawing from units are available at https://www.mq.edu.au/study/calendar-of-dates
On successful completion of this unit, you will be able to:
LATE SUBMISSION OF WORK: All assignments and assessment tasks must be submitted by the official due date and time. No marks will be given for late work unless an extension has been granted following a successful application for Special Consideration. Please contact the unit convenor for advice as soon as you become aware that you may have difficulty meeting any of the assignment deadlines.
FINAL EXAM POLICY: You are advised that it is Macquarie University policy not to set early examinations for individuals or groups of students. All students are expected to ensure that they are available until the end of the teaching semester, that is, the final day of the official examination period. The only excuse for not sitting an examination at the designated time is because of documented illness or unavoidable disruption. In these special circumstances, you may apply for special consideration via ask.mq.edu.au.
If you receive special consideration for the final exam, a supplementary exam will be scheduled in the interval between the regular exam period and the start of the next session. By making a special consideration application for the final exam you are declaring yourself available for a resit during the supplementary examination period and will not be eligible for a second special consideration approval based on pre-existing commitments. Please ensure you are familiar with the policy prior to submitting an application. You can check the supplementary exam information page on FSE101 in iLearn (bit.ly/FSESupp) for dates, and approved applicants will receive an individual notification one week prior to the exam with the exact date and time of their supplementary examination.
Name | Weighting | Hurdle | Due |
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Test 1 | 15% | No | Week 4 |
Test 2 | 15% | No | Week 10 |
Assignment | 20% | No | Week 12 |
Final Examination | 50% | No | University Examination Period |
Due: Week 4
Weighting: 15%
The test will be made available on the iLearn site of the unit. Students will be given one hour to complete the test and the extra time will be given for submission of the test solutions via iLearn. The test will be made available on August 21 in Week 4 and due on August 22. The test is not supervised, however, it is advisable that students complete the test under general exam conditions (i.e. with no additional help apart from a single page of A4 handwritten notes).
Due: Week 10
Weighting: 15%
The test will be made available on the iLearn site of the unit. Students will be given one hour to complete the test and the extra time will be given for submission of the test solutions via iLearn. The test will be made available on October 16 in Week 10 and due on October 17. The test is not supervised, however, it is advisable that students complete the test under general exam conditions (i.e. with no additional help apart from a single page of A4 handwritten notes).
Due: Week 12
Weighting: 20%
Students will be given two weeks to complete the assignment. Assignment submission is via iLearn.
All assignments and assessment tasks must be submitted by the official due date and time. No marks will be given for late work unless an extension has been granted following a successful application for Special Consideration. Please contact the unit convenor for advice as soon as you become aware that you may have difficulty meeting any of the assignment deadlines.
Due: University Examination Period
Weighting: 50%
The examination will be of 2 hours duration with 10 minutes reading time.
For the Final examination you are allowed to bring in one A4 page of handwritten notes, written on both sides. All necessary statistical tables and formulae will be provided. An electronic calculator is essential and will be required. Non-programmable calculators with no text-retrieval capacity are allowed in the tests or exam.
STAT683 is delivered by lectures and SGTA classes.
There is no on-campus session scheduled for external students in this unit. The timetable for classes can be found on the University web site at:
There is no set textbook for this subject. Lecture notes will be available from iLearn at least the night before the lecture. Students should read the lecture notes before the lecture. All teaching materials will be available via iLearn.
References that may be useful
Technology Used and Required
iLearn
There will be an iLearn site for this unit where weekly information, online discussions, lecture notes, iLectures, practice exercises and solutions will be posted.
Students are required to login to iLearn using their Student ID Number and myMQ Portal Password (note, information about how to get hold of your password is provided by the weblink https://ilearn.mq.edu.au). You can only access the material if you are enrolled in the unit.
Software
We will be using Microsoft Office for Windows (especially Excel), R and Wolfram Alpha, freely available online.
Audio/Video recordings of lectures will be available on iLearn soon after the lecture is delivered.
Course notes are available on iLearn before the lecture. Students should familiarise themselves with the notes before the lecture and bring a copy (in paper or electronic form) to class.
Lectures
Lectures begin in Week 1. STAT683 students should listen to the audio recordings available on iLearn. The lecture notes will be available on iLearn before the lecture.
SGTA Classes
SGTA classes begin in Week 2 and are based on work from the previous week’s lecture. The aim of SGTAs is to apply techniques learnt in lectures to solve problems using a statistical package. The material is available on iLearn.
Additional Exercises
Additional exercises may also be made available on iLearn. It is expected that students will attempt all questions. The exercises will not be discussed during the SGTA classes, although some may be discussed during the lectures. A solution will be made available on the website.
WEEK |
LECTURE TOPIC |
W1 |
Experiments, sample spaces, Probability Rules, Permutations and Combinations |
W2 |
Conditional Probability. Independence, Bayes’ Theorem |
W3 |
Random Variables. Probability Functions, Discrete Probability Distributions, Cumulative Distribution functions, Expected value and Variance. Moments. |
W4 |
Important Discrete Distributions: Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric and Poisson |
W5 |
Moment generating functions. More Discrete Distributions: Negative Binomial and Hypergeometric. |
W6 |
Introduction to Continuous random variables. Cumulative distribution function. |
W7 |
Continuous Distributions: Uniform, Exponential. |
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Mid-semester break |
W8 |
Normal distribution. |
W9 |
Continuous Distributions: Gamma and Beta Distributions. Chebyshev’s Theorem. |
W10 |
Sampling Distributions. |
W11 |
Joint Distributions: Discrete and Continuous cases. |
W12 |
Introduction to Markov Chains. States, Transition probabilities, State vectors, Equilibrium, Absorbing States. |
Macquarie University policies and procedures are accessible from Policy Central (https://staff.mq.edu.au/work/strategy-planning-and-governance/university-policies-and-procedures/policy-central). Students should be aware of the following policies in particular with regard to Learning and Teaching:
Undergraduate students seeking more policy resources can visit the Student Policy Gateway (https://students.mq.edu.au/support/study/student-policy-gateway). It is your one-stop-shop for the key policies you need to know about throughout your undergraduate student journey.
If you would like to see all the policies relevant to Learning and Teaching visit Policy Central (https://staff.mq.edu.au/work/strategy-planning-and-governance/university-policies-and-procedures/policy-central).
Macquarie University students have a responsibility to be familiar with the Student Code of Conduct: https://students.mq.edu.au/study/getting-started/student-conduct
Results published on platform other than eStudent, (eg. iLearn, Coursera etc.) or released directly by your Unit Convenor, are not confirmed as they are subject to final approval by the University. Once approved, final results will be sent to your student email address and will be made available in eStudent. For more information visit ask.mq.edu.au or if you are a Global MBA student contact globalmba.support@mq.edu.au
Macquarie University provides a range of support services for students. For details, visit http://students.mq.edu.au/support/
Learning Skills (mq.edu.au/learningskills) provides academic writing resources and study strategies to improve your marks and take control of your study.
Students with a disability are encouraged to contact the Disability Service who can provide appropriate help with any issues that arise during their studies.
For all student enquiries, visit Student Connect at ask.mq.edu.au
If you are a Global MBA student contact globalmba.support@mq.edu.au
For help with University computer systems and technology, visit http://www.mq.edu.au/about_us/offices_and_units/information_technology/help/.
When using the University's IT, you must adhere to the Acceptable Use of IT Resources Policy. The policy applies to all who connect to the MQ network including students.
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