Unit convenor and teaching staff |
Unit convenor and teaching staff
Natalia Ponomareva
4 Eastern Rd, room 428
Friday 2-3pm
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Credit points |
Credit points
10
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Prerequisites |
Prerequisites
ECON1021 or ECON110
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Corequisites |
Corequisites
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Co-badged status |
Co-badged status
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Unit description |
Unit description
This intermediate-level unit studies the main macroeconomic models in use, keeping close contact with current macroeconomic events. The focus is on product, financial and labour markets in an open economy, examining their key features in short, medium and long run equilibrium. We study the link between macroeconomics and finance leading to a deep understanding of the drivers of bond, stock housing and exchange rate markets, as well as the sources of pathologies like financial crises and the emergence of cryptocurrencies. Monetary and fiscal policy design is analysed in depth, enabling students to evaluate current debates on macroeconomic policy in a real-world context. |
Information about important academic dates including deadlines for withdrawing from units are available at https://www.mq.edu.au/study/calendar-of-dates
On successful completion of this unit, you will be able to:
Late Assessment Submission Penalty (written assessments)
Unless a Special Consideration request has been submitted and approved, a 5% penalty (of the total possible mark) will be applied each day a written assessment is not submitted, up until the 7th day (including weekends). After the 7th day, a grade of ‘0’ will be awarded even if the assessment is submitted. Submission time for all written assessments is set at 11.55pm. A 1-hour grace period is provided to students who experience a technical concern.
For any late submissions of time-sensitive tasks, such as scheduled tests/exams, performance assessments/presentations, and/or scheduled practical assessments/labs, students need to submit an application for Special Consideration.
Special Consideration
To request an extension on the due date/time for a timed or non-timed assessment task, you must submit a Special Consideration application. An application for Special Consideration does not guarantee approval.
The approved extension date for a student becomes the new due date for that student. The late submission penalties above then apply as of the new due date.
Name | Weighting | Hurdle | Due |
---|---|---|---|
Quiz | 10% | No | Weeks 4, 7, 10, 13 |
Mid-session test | 20% | No | Week 7 |
Group presentation | 20% | No | Part 1- weekly, Part 2 - week 12 |
Final examination | 50% | No | University Examination Period |
Assessment Type 1: Quiz/Test
Indicative Time on Task 2: 10 hours
Due: Weeks 4, 7, 10, 13
Weighting: 10%
Several quizzes will be held during the session. Details will be available in iLearn.
Assessment Type 1: Quiz/Test
Indicative Time on Task 2: 10 hours
Due: Week 7
Weighting: 20%
Mid-session test
Assessment Type 1: Presentation
Indicative Time on Task 2: 20 hours
Due: Part 1- weekly, Part 2 - week 12
Weighting: 20%
Part 1: Tutorial solution presentations (10%) Part 2: Central Bank Simulation (10%)
Assessment Type 1: Examination
Indicative Time on Task 2: 35 hours
Due: University Examination Period
Weighting: 50%
A two-hour examination, consisting of descriptive short and long answer questions, will be held during the University Examination Period.
1 If you need help with your assignment, please contact:
2 Indicative time-on-task is an estimate of the time required for completion of the assessment task and is subject to individual variation
Lectures: WEDNESDAYS 2-4PM, 23WW P.G.Price Lecture Theatre
Lecture slides will be available on the unit web page at http://ilearn.mq.edu.au, and (barring technical hitches, the possibility of which should be allowed for) videos of the lectures will be available on Echo. During the session, unforeseen circumstances may require the cancellation of a lecture and/or tutorial. Any changes will be announced as far as possible in advance both in lectures and on the unit website. Students are strongly advised that their learning is significantly enhanced by engaging with the lecture presentations at the appointed time. Students who miss lectures put themselves at a significant disadvantage for several reasons, including:
(i) Not all the material in the text is covered in the unit, and not all the material in the unit is covered in the text. In some places the text deals with issues in greater depth than is necessary for the unit, and in other places it doesn’t go far enough. The lectures contain all the unit material taught at the level required for the assessment tasks, and are your guide to the unit content. The tutorials will demonstrate the way questions in macroeconomics are approached.
(ii) The lectures and tutorials will include guidance about the style and content of the final exam and recommendations about study technique.
(iii) It is difficult (and often impossible) for staff to provide meaningful assistance to students outside class times on topics for which they did not attend the relevant lectures and tutorials.
Required Text
Available from your Local Co-op Bookshop is the physical text with eBook: "Macroeconomics" Blanchard and Sheen, 4th edition, 2013 ISBN: 9781486041220, it is also available on Amazon or Booktopia.
This 4th edition is significantly different to the 3rd edition, and students are strongly advised to get access to the 4th edition. DO NOT get the 3rd (or earlier) edition. (Please do not email to ask if it's OK to get the earlier editions.) Note that the lectures present updated analysis beased on world events up to 2024.
Technology Used and Required Lecture and tutorial material as well as up to date information concerning any aspect of the unit, including any changes to the schedule, will be available to students by logging on to the unit web page at http://ilearn.mq.edu.au.
Teaching and Learning Strategy This unit is taught as a mix of lectures and tutorials. The lectures are designed to provide the tools which can then be applied in tutorials. The tutorials comprise numerical problems and analytical questions and will be detailed in a separate document on iLearn at the end of week 2. There should be the opportunity to explore issues raised in lectures and to ask questions. The tutorials aim to improve understanding of macroeconomic theory and policy.
Unit Schedule
The schedule and readings shown below may be updated on iLearn during the session.
Topic 1 Introduction; a brief look at global conditions with a focus on Australia’s recent performance; output and business cycles, inflation, unemployment.
B&S Chs 1, 2
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy (May 2024), https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2024/may/pdf/statement-on-monetary-policy-2024-05.pdf
Kellie Belrose "Bridging the Textbook Gaps on How the RBA Implements Monetary Policy" https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/teacher-updates/pdf/bridging-the-textbook-gaps-on-how-the-rba-implements-monetary-policy.pdf
Topic 2 The IS-LM model: Short-run goods market and money market equilibrium; monetary policy & fiscal policy; the policy mix – comparing a money supply rule with an interest rate rule.
B&S Chs 3, 4, 5
Reserve Bank of Australia “Monetary Policy” http://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/index.html
David Romer (2000), Keynesian Macroeconomics Without the LM Curve, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring, pp 149-169
Topic 3 The labour market; wage and price setting in the medium run; the natural rate of unemployment; tax distortions and full employment.
B&S Ch 6
Mark Chambers et al (2021) "Underemployment in the Australian Labour Market", https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2021/jun/pdf/underemployment-in-the-australian-labour-market.pdf
Jonathan Hambur (2023) "Can Wage-setting Mechanisms Affect Labour Market Reallocation and Productivity?" https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2023/mar/pdf/can-wage-setting-mechanisms-affect-labour-market-reallocation-and-productivity.pdf
Christopher Kent (2014) "Cyclical and Structural Changes in the Labour Market" http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2014/sp-ag-160614.html
Neyavan Suthaharan and Joanna Bleakley (2022) "Wage-price Dynamics in a High-inflation Environment: The International Evidence" https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2022/sep/pdf/wage-price-dynamics-in-a-high-inflation-environment-the-international-evidence.pdf
Topic 4 The AS-AD model: All markets together from the short run to the medium run; aggregate supply; aggregate demand with a fixed money supply and with an interest rate rule using an INFLATION TARGET; monetary, fiscal and oil price shocks in the AS-AD model.
B&S Ch 7
RBA Explainer: Australia's inflation target, https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/australias-inflation-target.html
Guy Debelle, "Monetary policy during Covid", (2021) https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2021/sp-dg-2021-05-06.html
Callum Hudson et al (2021) "The Global Fiscal Response to COVID-19", https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2021/jun/pdf/the-global-fiscal-response-to-covid-19.pdf
Topic 5 Evolution of the Phillips curve; theories of expected inflation; the sacrifice ratio
B&S Ch 8
Hajime Katayama, Natalia Ponomareva and Malvin Sharma (2019) “What Determines the Sacrifice Ratio? A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach” , Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81(5), pp. 960-988. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/obes.12304
Heather Ruberl et al (2021) "Estimating the NAIRU in Australia", https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-05/p2021-164397_nairu.pdf
Topic 6 The macroeconomics of financial market crises.
B&S Ch 9
Luci Ellis (2009) “The Global Financial Crisis: Causes, Consequences and Countermeasures”, RBA Bulletin, May 2009 http://www.rba.gov.au/PublicationsAndResearch/Bulletin/bu_may09/Pdf/bu_0509_4.pdf
Jonathan Kearns (2020), "Banking and the COVID-19 Pandemic", https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2020/pdf/sp-so-2020-12-15.pdf
Topic 7 The Long run: Sources and theories of economic growth and productivity; convergence across countries - PPP comparisons; growth over 2000 years; savings and capital accumulation; the golden rule savings rate
B&S Chs 10, 11
P. Romer (1994) “The Origins of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1994
Australian Treasury (2023) "Intergenerational Report 2023: Australia’s future to 2063", https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2023-08/p2023-435150.pdf
Topic 8 Technology, population growth and the Solow model; institutions, technological progress and growth
B&S Chs 12, 13
R Gordon (2000) “Does the ‘New Economy’ Measure up to the Great Inventions of the Past?” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000
Topic 9 Expectations - expected presented discounted value; nominal vs real interest rates; interest rates and monetary policy; the Fisher hypothesis; macroeconomic determinants of the yield curve or term structure; and of stock market prices; housing prices; expectations and consumption & investment; Tobin’s q; expectations and the IS-LM model.
B&S Chs 14, 15, 16, 17
Topic 10 The exchange rate; nominal & real, bilateral & multilateral exchange rates; the balance of payments; interest parity condition; the goods market in an open economy; exchange rates and net exports; J-curve; saving, investment and the trade balance.
B&S Chs 18, 19
Tim Atkin et al (2021) "Determinants of the Australian Dollar Over Recent Years", https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2021/mar/pdf/determinants-of-the-australian-dollar-over-recent-years.pdf
Topic 11 The Mundell-Fleming model under floating exchange rates (with interest rate setting and inflation targeting); fixed exchange rates and exchange rate crises; exchange rate overshooting; choosing the exchange rate regime.
B&S Chs 20, 21
Topic 12 Back to Policy: Uncertainty and macro policy; credibility of policy-makers; fiscal policy and government budget constraint, government debt; challenges from the crisis - the liquidity trap, macroprudential policy.
B&S Chs 22, 23, 24
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Unit information based on version 2024.03 of the Handbook